Showing posts with label Smartphone. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Smartphone. Show all posts

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Patent Squatting


Shares in Eastman Kodak have risen 10% on the news that the company has persuaded the US International Trade Commission (ITC) to reconsider its patent infringement case against smartphone manufacturers Apple and Research In Motion. According to Bloomberg Businessweek, the company thinks that it can negotiate royalties worth $1 billion or more if its patent rights are recognised.


Investors have not given the news an unequivocal welcome, however. “Even if Kodak receives the $1 billion in cash, what could it possibly use it to do?” asks InvestorGuide, suggesting that “Kodak has no other game plan except to sit on its patents and sue violators to receive licensing fees to generate capital.” “There is a clear problem with the company’s current patent-squatting strategy – it simply cannot be sustainable,” it notes.


"However, if Kodak invests wisely in research and development to strike back at its currently crippled Japanese camera rivals, such as Sony, Fujifilm, Panasonic and Canon, it could reestablish itself as a formidable camera manufacturer. Kodak has a strong brand name which has been synonymous with cameras for decades, and it wouldn’t be too late to stage a late game comeback."


Does this mark a change in investor attitudes from the early noughties when books such as "Rembrandts in the Attic" and "Edison in the Boardroom" lauded the $4 billion in royalties earned by Texas Instruments (TI) from licensing its patent portfolio? Or is it an acknowledgement that, in 2010, the lion's share of TI's operating profit came from the design and manufacture of semiconductors, with patent royalties being lumped together with "smaller semiconductor operating segments", ASICs and calculators under the heading of "Other" in the 2010 accounts?

Friday, April 30, 2010

Pre and Pixi smartphones to go to HP

Another challenge seems to come up for Microsoft with the news this week that Hewlett-Packard intends to acquire Palm for US$1.2 billion - a decision for Palm's operating system WebOS as the basis for new generation consumer smartphones and against Microsoft’s Windows.

The deal is expected to provide a lifeline to struggling Palm - their share price went down over 53% this year - and gives HP the chance to concentrate on the smartphone consumer market owning the end product.

According to the New York Times, Palm has 452 patents and another 406 applications on file. Research firm MDB Capital was reported to value Palm’s portfolio of patents at approximately US$1.4 billion; they believe the value of Palm’s IP alone is worth between US$8 and US$9 per share.

More information can be found here and here.

Friday, September 11, 2009

Can Branding Save Motorola's Handset Business?

The handset, and more particularly, the smartphone industry, is particularly interesting from the IP point of view. I can think of no consumer hi tech industry in recent times where there is such a variety of competitors, and such an interdependency with third parties, all wrapped-up in a melange of various IP rights. "That all sounds nebulous to me", you might say. So let's try to give some focus to my thoughts, centering on a piece that appeared in the 3 August edition of Business Week entitled "Motorola Has One Bullet Left in Its Gun."

The Business Week article describes Motorola's almost desperate strategy to reinvigorate its mobile phone business. It is difficult to believe, but it was not that many years ago that the Motorola RAZR was all the rage, particularly due to the success of its slim, distinctive design. That seems to be the problem; the product was longer on design than on functionality. As the Mobile Gazette wrote on May 16, 2007 here,
"although the RAZR looked high-tech on the outside, the handset's specification was a straight copy of [models] ... which had been around since 2003. So it wasn't a very new phone underneath, even though it was still quite competitive. However other features proved to be a disappointment, such as the pretty-but-difficult keypad and the poor user interface. The RAZR also lacked an MP3 player, expandable memory or a decent camera which became more marked as the competition evolved ... and the RAZR did not."
Roughly speaking, when the design no longer conferred a market premium for the market, and with no discernible advantage in its product functionality, Motorola entered in an inexorable decline for that market.

Fast forward to 2009, and to the intensified efforts of Motorola to recapture its glory, in particular with respect to smartphones. Ah, but what a crowded field we find-- iPhones, Blackberrry, Palm Pre, HTC, Samsung, LG (have I listed them all?). These are not fungible products at the moment (although there seems to be greater convergence); so the iPhone has materially different features, and different types of users, from the Blackberry. And how will Motorola play this? According to Business Week, it has reached a strategic decision to develop a new generation of products that rely on the Google-supported Android operating system.

Remember that Android is an open source system, supported by Google, and was developed as an alternative to the proprietary operating systems available on the market. When launched, the rationale was that Android would increase search and other on-line usage on handsets for which Google could profit, while at the same time preventing anyone else from gaining proprietary control of the handset operating system. For whatever reason, perhaps cost, perhaps something else (the article does not specify), Motorola is prepared to adopt, indeed to be dependent upon Android, upon the development of a critical mass of Android-based applications (to compete with AppStore, the RIM equivalent and so on) even though the Android is itself a work in progress, and even though Android serves Google's broader business strategy, which might include direct involvement in the handset business at some future time. The harsh truth is that, while Motorola apparently has decided that it needs Google, Google scarcely needs Motorola, except as another cog in the Android network.


So what does Motorola bring to the table? It is not clear. The article states that the analysts, "briefed on Motorola's phones", are of the view that the phones are
"impressive. ... sleek touchscreen phone with qwerty keyboards that slide out of the body of the device for easier typing."
Those seem like nice features. Still, for Motorola's sake, I hope that there is meaningful protectable IP in these features. The article does not mention patents or even any indication that patent protection is part of the company's strategy with these products. As Motorola has learned, design itself won't do it and, unless Motorola obtains an exclusive IP position with respect to at least some of these features, any advantage in this direction would seem to be short-lived.

There is one ray of IP hope however--branding. Perhaps, just perhaps, Motorola might be able to successfully roll its new products out in a way that will capture the fancy of at least a commercially viable critical mass of handset users who will come to prefer the Motorola-branded products. This will then allow Motorola to be able to roll out new features on an incremental basis, rely on its burnished brand image (assuming that it can be reestablished) and thereby not have to seek some likely unattainable holy grail of IP exclusivity.

Something like that was suggested by the Apple presentation about the iPod product that took place several days ago. None of the features that Apple introduced for its iPod product seems to be a blockbuster. Indeed, some features, at least with respect to the Nano iPod, were described as common fare on many MP3 devices. No matter. The idea is that Apple is Apple, and it is enough that it continues to roll out incremental improvements for its flagship products.

Duplicating that dynamic will be ever so difficult for Motorola. The RAZR models were top of the class less than five years ago, but Motorola could not leverage that goodwill more generally, and the Motorola brand is light-years behind Apple in brand strength. But with the operating system in the hands of an open source developer community, behind which lies an 800-pound business gorilla with its own business agenda, with no apparent patents to rely on, with the awareness that designs are fleeting at best, brand development may be the last best IP hope for the company in the handset industry.

Monday, March 2, 2009

So You Want to be a Developer of a Smartphone Application?

Few current topics offer as many interesting angles as the cell phone business. Historically (to the extent one can talk about the "history" of this nascent industry), the business focused on the system operator, handset manufacturer and purveyor of the computer operating system. More recently, the rise of the Smartphone, the increasing importance of application programs, and the challenge of the Android operating system have all pushed IP to a more central role in the industry.

Following on my previous post of February 28th on the possible patent aspect of the iPhone and its competitors, my attention was drawn to an article that appeared in The Marker, the business daily published together with the Israel newspaper Haaretz. The article, entitled (in English translation) "How to Make Money from iPhone Applications", contains a large number of interesting nuggets about the emerging industry of iPhone application programs, where copyright reigns supreme. Let me mention several of the points made in the article.

While Smartphone applications are developed by companies with dedicated staff, successful applications have been developed by an individual or two, often working in his/their spare time for several months. One such example is iFog, which was developed by two individuals over a two-month period. Reportedly ranked no. 20 on the list of most downloaded applications on AppStore and iPhone, the iFog has been downloaded over 150,000 times, at a price of $1 per download.

Find the Fog in iFog

Seen from another angle, each of the top ten downloads can earn $3,000 a day for its developer, while the number 1 download is reported to earn $15,000 a day. Of course, there can be only a single no. 1, and over 15,000 applications are reportedly competing for downloads by the iPhone users. Neverthless, perhaps (perhaps not) with a tinge of exaggeration, one of the iFog developers observed that one can earn sums similar to producers or artists in the music business. That said, even the most successful developer will admit that the half-life of application is not overly long, and the odds of coming up with a second (or third) hit would not seem to be overly high.

There appear to be several business models for the developer of the application to monetize his product. Marketing the application through the operator or integrator is reported to split revenues 70-30 in favor of the operator/integrator. On the contrary, distribution via iTunes or the AppStore splits revenues 70-30 in favor the developer. There also appear to be applications that are distributed for free, with monetization realized either by the provision of add-on services or from advertising.

The application must further take into consideration the characteristics of the typical user of the particular system. Thus, the Blackberry user is overwhelmingly a business type, while the iPhone has not (at least yet) been embraced by the business community. Further, the developer is advised to make his product compatible for different platforms, for use with both proprietary and open source operating systems. Moreover, the AppStore will likely encounter additional competitors. The article noted that Samsung, Nokia, RIM, PocketGear and Palm are all contemplating application stores, which provides further channels for sale and distribution for potential developers.

So what do I tell my son when he comes into my study tomorrow, asking advice on how to get into the Smartphone applications business? Young man, it is a tough, competitive business, but it is also an attractive way to channel your creative digital juices in a way that is both financially and aesthetically attractive. And who knows--maybe you will find that pot of gold at the end of the copyright rainbow that has eluded so many an author in the oh-so-yesterday publishing business.

I found my copyright pot of gold